Migrate To Canada – Can We Expect a Drop In CRS Score?

Posted on

Background

The candidates in the Express Entry pool watch the recent Express Entry draws and the CRS scores which are needed to receive an ITA for a PR  in Canada. In the present year, the least CRS score was 441 points. A common question is whether the CRS score will decline further. Here is an analysis based on facts regarding this matter.

What Is a CRS Score?

The economic immigrants of Canada go through the process of immigration called Express Entry. It manages three immigration programs: Canadian Experience Class, Federal Skilled Trades, and Federal Skilled Worker. The first requirement for a candidate is creating a profile in Express Entry. The details are regarding their age and education, followed by work experience and proficiency in a language. One also has to give information about family members. By creating such a profile, the candidates opt for Expression of Interest for such a program.

Furthermore, depending on the data in the profile, the aspirant gets a score from 1200 points. This is the Comprehensive Ranking System score. Through this, every person gets a rank in the EE pool comparable to other candidates. It takes around two weeks for the immigration officials to conduct a draw. In it, the aspirants in the pool receive ITA  to the candidates based on the top CRS score.

CRS-Score-for-Express-Entry

An ITA serves as a ticket for immigration, permitting the holder to submit an official application to seek permanent residence in Canada. Furthermore, the ITAs are in great demand, and knowing the dynamics of CRS score is vital to understand the chances of success in immigration. In 2018, the least CRS score to get an ITA was 441 points. On the other hand, the least CRS score in the record of EE was 413 points.

Can We Predict The Future CRS Score?

Making a prediction regarding a CRS score is a challenge.  Issuing of ITAs rests totally at the discretion of the immigration officials. There are various factors at play while considering the changes in CRS score:

  • The time between draws,
  • Number of new EE  profiles submitted during this time,
  • Number of ITAs issued in each draw,

An answer to these questions affects the change in the CRS score. It is   a risk to predict the CRS score.

The Numbers, Help In Our Prediction

The first factor to look is the immigration target of Canada. In the last year, the country had an aim to receive 160,000 fresh PRs using the economic classes. In the present year, this stands increased to 172,000. Also, the economic immigrants enter through EE pathways, the Provincial Nominee Programs and through the business classes. The principal applicant in the economic classes, and family members, who accompany them, both get a representation in these targets.

Projections

  • Moreover, the present immigration targets are steep and we can hope that the EE issues more ITAs in 2018 compared to the previous year to meet them.
  • Furthermore, during 2018 10,000 less ITAs were issued in comparison to 2017 in the initial four months. It is a fact that the yearly immigration target of 2018 will be high in the economic immigrant category than in 2017. We can reasonably guess that somewhere in the present year, the number of ITAs issued will be equal or exceed the number of ITAs issued during the previous year.
  • Additionally, in the next months, when ITA levels match the 2017 level, we can guess that the least Score will also decline. The equation also depends on the number of New Canada Express Entry profiles   which the candidates will submit.

Though we cannot predict the changes of the CRS, accurately, we can be optimistic that there is a reasonable option that the CRS score will decline in 2018.

Related Post